Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-14 0.145732 0.155655 0.165996 0.177592 0.190254 0.203685 0.219038
2025-12-21 0.126467 0.140730 0.156402 0.174981 0.196509 0.220793 0.250436
2025-12-28 0.115413 0.131891 0.150637 0.173702 0.201534 0.234312 0.276252
2026-01-04 0.109154 0.127477 0.148928 0.176152 0.210153 0.251714 0.307144
2026-01-11 0.102457 0.121777 0.144930 0.175076 0.213825 0.262712 0.330287
2026-01-18 0.096361 0.116259 0.140584 0.172967 0.215653 0.271034 0.350092
2026-01-25 0.090709 0.110868 0.135943 0.169978 0.215857 0.276891 0.366607
2026-02-01 0.088311 0.109399 0.136108 0.173112 0.224189 0.293995 0.399926
2026-02-08 0.084262 0.105533 0.132876 0.171403 0.225641 0.301467 0.419698
2026-02-15 0.081189 0.102764 0.130897 0.171194 0.229034 0.311734 0.444241
2026-02-22 0.077310 0.098719 0.126971 0.168003 0.227874 0.315139 0.458291
2026-03-01 0.074625 0.096153 0.124912 0.167281 0.230169 0.323696 0.480994
2026-03-08 0.072395 0.094138 0.123554 0.167531 0.233973 0.334888 0.509146
2026-03-15 0.069391 0.090932 0.120385 0.164970 0.233360 0.339137 0.526038
2026-03-22 0.067043 0.088540 0.118248 0.163790 0.234736 0.346533 0.548833
2026-03-29 0.065909 0.087805 0.118431 0.166060 0.241576 0.363161 0.589365
2026-04-05 0.063889 0.085718 0.116549 0.165063 0.243105 0.371015 0.614587
2026-04-12 0.061723 0.083337 0.114134 0.163108 0.242934 0.375910 0.634617
2026-04-19 0.059459 0.080735 0.111288 0.160337 0.241239 0.378014 0.649388
2026-04-26 0.058854 0.080540 0.112025 0.163243 0.249142 0.397432 0.700034
2026-05-03 0.057107 0.078591 0.110027 0.161658 0.249309 0.402962 0.723106
2026-05-10 0.055807 0.077264 0.108925 0.161464 0.251832 0.412912 0.756285
2026-05-17 0.053890 0.074946 0.106214 0.158505 0.249346 0.413343 0.769138